Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Xalapa (Mexico), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Bernard Tomic		Ernesto Escobedo

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.83	1.94
	1.73	2
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.61)	1.94 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
52.1%

Ernesto Escobedo
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Ernesto Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ernesto Escobedo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ernesto Escobedo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ernesto Escobedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tomic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tomic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ITF Tournaments
03.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Omar Jasika - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
15.04.24	Bernard Tomic - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Skander Mansouri - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LLW
- Ernesto Escobedo
ITF Tournaments
03.05.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Ezekiel Clark	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Jody Maginley	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.23	Ernesto Escobedo - Bernard Tomic	2:1

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