Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Baron Santoyo F. (Col)


	Ernesto Escobedo		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.21
	1.68	2.22
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ernesto Escobedo
56.1%

Daniel Vallejo
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ernesto Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ernesto Escobedo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ernesto Escobedo - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Escobedo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Escobedo: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Escobedo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vallejo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Escobedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vallejo to win the game is with odds 2.11.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ernesto Escobedo
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.03.24	Brandon Holt - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Ernesto Escobedo - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Enzo Couacaud - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Daniel Vallejo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWW

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