Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
49.7%

Nicholas David Ionel
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.

Nicholas David Ionel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicholas David Ionel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicholas David Ionel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bernard Tomic - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 216. Ionel is ranked ATP: 383.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ionel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Bernard Tomic - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Bernard Tomic - Khumoun Sultanov	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Masamichi Imamura - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Tim Handel	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Denis Klok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

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