Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barranquilla, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Nicolas Mejia		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.62
	2.31	1.57	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
41.9%

Bernard Tomic
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tomic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 238. Tomic is ranked ATP: 184.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomic could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Adhithya Ganesan	Ganesan A. retired ✺
30.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - August Holmgren	Holmgren A. retired ✺
22.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?L?L
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Facundo Bagnis - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. walkover ✺
12.08.25	Taha Baadi - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Stefan Dostanic - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
03.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?W?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:0
18.02.25	Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic	0:2
02.07.24	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:1

Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide