Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Pennington R. (Usa)


	Bernard Tomic		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.86
	1.97	1.86
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.56)	1.82 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
48.6%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thai-Son Kwiatkowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Bernard Tomic - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kwiatkowski will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kwiatkowski: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kwiatkowski is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tomic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Tomic to win the game is with odds 1.9.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ITF Tournaments
18.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Andres Andrade	Tomic B. retired ✺
17.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Axel Nefve	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Jacob Brumm	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ?WWWW
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Geneva
18.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Raphael Collignon - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Tennys Sandgren	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Mitchell Krueger - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1

Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide