Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Bernarda Pera		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.58
	1.5	2.51
	1.67	2.1
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.89)	2.36 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernarda Pera
60.3%

Maria Lourdes Carle
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernarda Pera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernarda Pera's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernarda Pera than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernarda Pera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bernarda Pera - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pera will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Carle will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carle: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maria Lourdes Carle will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pera is ranked WTA: 81. Carle is ranked WTA: 119.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Pera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernarda Pera - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernarda Pera
WTA Madrid
21.04.25	Bernarda Pera - Ruth Roura Llaverias	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
16.04.25	Bernarda Pera - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Bernarda Pera	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Bernarda Pera - Johanne Christine Svendsen	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Bernarda Pera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Madrid
21.04.25	Daria Snigur - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

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