Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Daria Snigur		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	3.3	1.3
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	4.13	1.24
	3.81	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.63	1.26	Watch
	3.55	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.77)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daria Snigur
25.8%

Maria Lourdes Carle
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daria Snigur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daria Snigur's form might have worsened.

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Snigur than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daria Snigur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Daria Snigur - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Snigur will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Snigur is ranked WTA: 139. Carle is ranked WTA: 118.

Snigur is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Snigur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carle is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daria Snigur
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Daria Snigur - Anna-Lena Friedsam	Snigur D. retired ✺
18.04.25	Daria Snigur - Amarni Banks	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Daria Snigur - Lisa Zaar	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Daria Snigur - Manon Leonard	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Daria Snigur - Alja Senica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WWLW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
16.04.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Darja Semenistaja - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

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