Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LAS FRANQUESAS DEL VALLES (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday


	Billy Harris		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.72	2.22
	1.67	2.1
	1.53	2.42	Watch
	1.73	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.9)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
56.9%

Marco Trungelliti
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Billy Harris's performance.

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Trungelliti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billy Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Billy Harris - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Harris is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trungelliti is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trungelliti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
23.03.23	Billy Harris - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Billy Harris - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Billy Harris - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Billy Harris - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
23.03.23	Karl Friberg - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Joao Domingues - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Aziz Dougaz - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Marco Trungelliti - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Marco Trungelliti - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Billy Harris - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide