Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Blake Ellis		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.75	2.11
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.75)	1.97 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
52.9%

Moerani Bouzige
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blake Ellis's performance.

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moerani Bouzige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Blake Ellis - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bouzige will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ellis: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Blake Ellis will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 447. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 317.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ellis won 5.

Bouzige is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ellis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ellis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Dane Sweeny - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Christian Langmo - Blake Ellis	Langmo C. retired ✺
20.03.25	Jake Delaney - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Scott Jones - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	James Watt - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 W?WWW
- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Renta Tokuda	Bouzige M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Moerani Bouzige - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Moerani Bouzige - Taketo Takamisawa	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Moerani Bouzige - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.02.24	Moerani Bouzige - Blake Ellis	0:2
23.11.23	Blake Ellis - Moerani Bouzige	2:0
11.10.23	Moerani Bouzige - Blake Ellis	1:2
16.09.23	Blake Ellis - Moerani Bouzige	2:0
28.02.23	Blake Ellis - Moerani Bouzige	2:0
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
11.08.20	Blake Ellis - Moerani Bouzige	2:1

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