Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Swan Hill (Australia), grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Jake Delaney		Blake Ellis

	1	2
	3.04	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.04	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.63)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
30.1%

Blake Ellis
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jake Delaney's form might have worsened.

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blake Ellis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jake Delaney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blake Ellis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jake Delaney - Blake Ellis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 476. Ellis is ranked ATP: 299.

Delaney is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ellis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ellis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ellis will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Delaney won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Jake Delaney - Noah Brownrigg	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Jake Delaney - Jesse Delaney	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Jake Delaney - Pavle Marinkov	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Jake Delaney - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Jake Delaney - Jarrod Joyce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWW
- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Scott Jones - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	James Watt - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	Ellis B. retired ✺
13.03.25	Alexander Klintcharov - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Seongbin Sim - Blake Ellis	Sim S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WW?W?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.10.23	Blake Ellis - Jake Delaney	0:2

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