Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LEXINGTON (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday


	Blake Ellis		Stefan Dostanic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.78	1.42
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (1.88)	1.44 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
35.5%

Stefan Dostanic
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blake Ellis's form might have worsened.

Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefan Dostanic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blake Ellis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefan Dostanic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Ellis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dostanic in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dostanic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dostanic will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dostanic to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
30.07.23	Blake Ellis - Noah Schachter	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Blake Ellis - Matija Pecotic	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Blake Ellis - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	2:0 ✺
17.07.23	Blaise Bicknell - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Blake Ellis - Ajeet Rai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
30.07.23	Alexander Bernard - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.07.23	Andre Ilagan - Stefan Dostanic	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Stefan Dostanic - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	Karl Lee - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
13.07.23	Ali Amiri - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Blake Ellis - Stefan Dostanic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide