Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Blake Ellis		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.28	1.65
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.34)	1.63 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
42.8%

Philip Sekulic
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sekulic will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 502. Sekulic is ranked ATP: 324.

Ellis has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sekulic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ellis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sekulic might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Philip Sekulic - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
16.06.26	Enzo Aguiard - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Blake Ellis - Sebastian Gorzny	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Philip Sekulic - Blake Ellis	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Andres Martin - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Blake Ellis - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LL?LL
- Philip Sekulic
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Philip Sekulic - Blake Ellis	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Philip Sekulic - Mitchell Krueger	Canceled ✺
19.05.26	Naoya Honda - Philip Sekulic	Canceled ✺
16.05.26	Keegan Smith - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Philip Sekulic - Kriish Tyagi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ???LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Philip Sekulic - Blake Ellis	Canceled
ATP Challenger
29.01.24	Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic	0:2
23.10.23	Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic	0:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
18.08.20	Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic	2:1

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