Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA (SLOVAKIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday


	Blaz Rola		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.65	2.2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.22	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.99)	2.36 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaz Rola
59%

Illya Marchenko
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaz Rola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blaz Rola's performance.

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illya Marchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blaz Rola than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blaz Rola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illya Marchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Blaz Rola - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rola will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Marchenko will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rola: 50.9% – 95.7%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Rola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaz Rola
ATP Challenger
21.05.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Blaz Rola	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.05.23	Blaz Rola - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
18.05.23	Davide Galoppini - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Blaz Rola - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Blaz Rola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Martin Damm - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
20.05.23	Illya Marchenko - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.23	Illya Marchenko - Lucas Gerch	Marchenko I. retired ✺
07.05.23	Illya Marchenko - Joel Josef Schwarzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWL?W

Blaz Rola - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide