Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAUTHAUSEN (AUSTRIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Illya Marchenko		Lucas Gerch

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.52	2.47
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.56	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	2.34 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
60.2%

Lucas Gerch
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Gerch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Illya Marchenko - Lucas Gerch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gerch will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Marchenko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gerch has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gerch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
07.05.23	Illya Marchenko - Joel Josef Schwarzler	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Henri Squire - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Dominik Kellovsky - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Illya Marchenko - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
25.04.23	Philip Florig - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Lucas Gerch - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Lucas Gerch - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Lucas Gerch - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.23	Alejandro Melero Kretzer - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Illya Marchenko - Lucas Gerch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide