Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LOS CABOS (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Borna Gojo		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.15	1.7
	2.12	1.73
	2.24	1.72
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Gojo
44.4%

Christian Garin
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Gojo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borna Gojo's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	0%	78.4%

Borna Gojo - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gojo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Garin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gojo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Gojo
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Maximilian Marterer - Borna Gojo	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.23	Luca Van Assche - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Viktor Durasovic - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.23	Daniel Altmaier - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Christian Garin
ATP Hamburg
27.07.23	Casper Ruud - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Hugo Dellien - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Christian Garin - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Christian Garin - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.23	Aziz Dougaz - Christian Garin	Garin C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWW?

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