Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Concepcion 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Facundo Mena		Dusan Lajovic

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Facundo Mena
36.3%

Dusan Lajovic
63.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Mena is ranked ATP: 328. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 125.

Mena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lajovic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajovic might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Facundo Mena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Facundo Mena - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.01.26	Facundo Mena - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Facundo Mena - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Facundo Mena - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLW

Facundo Mena - Dusan Lajovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide