Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Facundo Mena		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	2.76 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
66.4%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Facundo Mena - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Mena will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Mena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 328. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 591.

Mena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mena could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ITF Tournaments
24.01.26	Facundo Mena - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Facundo Mena - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Facundo Mena - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Facundo Mena - Liam Krall	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Facundo Mena - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ITF Tournaments
23.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Bastian Malla	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Facundo Mena	0:2

Facundo Mena - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide