Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Select, Ziggo Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.86	1.88	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.83	2.03
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.94	Watch
	1.86	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)	1.96 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
51.4%

Mackenzie McDonald
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botic Van De Zandschulp's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botic Van De Zandschulp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	0%	88.5%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 6 - 11.5%). McDonald will win (votes: 46 - 88.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 79.8% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Van De Zandschulp is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

McDonald is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Van De Zandschulp could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Van De Zandschulp won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Arthur Fils - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
15.05.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Tallon Griekspoor	1:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
19.05.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Melbourne Summer Set
06.01.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2

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