The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sho Shimabukuro 60.4%
Arthur Gea 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.1%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.
Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Gea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Gea Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Gea will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 47.8% – 85.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Shimabukuro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Gea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shimabukuro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Shimabukuro will have a poor advantage in this game.
Watch
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