Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Campos M. (Bra)


	Bruno Kuzuhara		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.1	1.68	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	2.17	1.71
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.36)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bruno Kuzuhara
44.1%

Ergi Kirkin
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bruno Kuzuhara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bruno Kuzuhara than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bruno Kuzuhara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ergi Kirkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Bruno Kuzuhara - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kuzuhara will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Kirkin will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kuzuhara: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kuzuhara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kirkin is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kuzuhara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Kirkin to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kuzuhara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bruno Kuzuhara
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Facundo Mena - Bruno Kuzuhara	0:2 ✺
02.05.24	Ergi Kirkin - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Igor Gimenez - Bruno Kuzuhara	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Dmitry Popko - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLL
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Jose Pereira - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Ergi Kirkin - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Ergi Kirkin - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Ergi Kirkin - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:1

Bruno Kuzuhara - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide