Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre (Brazil) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Vieira Souza P. (Bra)


	Ergi Kirkin		Bruno Kuzuhara

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.3
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
59%

Bruno Kuzuhara
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Bruno Kuzuhara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bruno Kuzuhara than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Ergi Kirkin - Bruno Kuzuhara Predictions

Users Predictions: Ergi Kirkin will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kuzuhara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kirkin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Ergi Kirkin - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Ergi Kirkin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Ergi Kirkin - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW
- Bruno Kuzuhara
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Igor Gimenez - Bruno Kuzuhara	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Dmitry Popko - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Axel Nefve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bruno Kuzuhara
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Lui Maxted - Bruno Kuzuhara	✺

Ergi Kirkin - Bruno Kuzuhara