Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby (Canada), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Grzegorczyk J. (Pol)


	Bruno Kuzuhara		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.08	1.78
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.36)	1.75 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bruno Kuzuhara
46.8%

Rio Noguchi
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bruno Kuzuhara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bruno Kuzuhara's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bruno Kuzuhara than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bruno Kuzuhara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Bruno Kuzuhara - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kuzuhara will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Noguchi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noguchi: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Noguchi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bruno Kuzuhara
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Alexis Galarneau - Bruno Kuzuhara	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Joshua Lapadat - Bruno Kuzuhara	0:2 ✺
01.07.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Kody Pearson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
16.07.24	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Rio Noguchi - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Rio Noguchi - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.24	Thiago Monteiro - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLL

Bruno Kuzuhara - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide