Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Mark Lajal		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.34	3.00
	1.34	3
	1.39	3.27
	1.33	3.07	Watch
	1.35	3.2
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
69.6%

Rio Noguchi
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mark Lajal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 159. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Lajal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lajal is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lajal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Mark Lajal - Mitchell Krueger	Krueger M. Retired ✺
14.07.26	Mark Lajal - Trevor Svajda	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Mark Lajal - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mark Lajal - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?WLL?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.08.24	Rio Noguchi - Mark Lajal	0:2
22.07.24	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0
16.07.24	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	1:2

Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide