Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ILKLEY (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Alex Bolt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.79	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
52.9%

Alex Bolt
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bu Yunchaokete's form might have worsened.

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Bolt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Bolt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bu Yunchaokete - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Bolt will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolt: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Yunchaokete is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yunchaokete will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Nuno Borges - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Seong Chan Hong - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Duarte Vale - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Alex Bolt - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

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