Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.35
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.69	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
56.7%

Constant Lestienne
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	0%	56.5%

Bu Yunchaokete - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Lestienne will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 71. Lestienne is ranked ATP: 177.

Yunchaokete is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lestienne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yunchaokete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lestienne to win the game is with odds 2.09.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.94%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Montpellier
27.01.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Hady Habib - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
31.12.24	Nuno Borges - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLL?L
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Montpellier
28.01.25	Borna Coric - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Terence Atmane - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Benoit Paire - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Constant Lestienne - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Mattia Bellucci - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

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