Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Hady Habib		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	2.99	1.39	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.08	1.38	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.63)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hady Habib
30%

Bu Yunchaokete
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hady Habib has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hady Habib's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hady Habib than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hady Habib, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Hady Habib - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Habib will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Habib is ranked ATP: 219. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 65.

Habib is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yunchaokete is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yunchaokete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yunchaokete is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Habib won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hady Habib
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Hady Habib - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Hady Habib	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Hady Habib - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.12.24	Damir Dzumhur - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Edward Winter - Hady Habib	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
31.12.24	Nuno Borges - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.11.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
12.11.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hady Habib	2:1

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