Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.98	1.79
	2.03	1.85
	1.92	1.78	Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
48.3%

Leandro Riedi
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Bu Yunchaokete - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Riedi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 131. Riedi is ranked ATP: 117.

Yunchaokete is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Riedi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Riedi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunchaokete won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.45%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Billy Harris - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Hamish Stewart - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Mark Lajal - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Chris Rodesch - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Leandro Riedi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1

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