Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	2.00	1.72
	1.97	1.80
	2.21	1.78
	2.02	1.75	Watch
	2.00	1.73
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
46.3%

Mark Lajal
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Bu Yunchaokete - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Lajal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajal: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 166. Lajal is ranked ATP: 157.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunchaokete won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Billy Harris - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Emilio Nava - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Mark Lajal - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Mark Lajal - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Mark Lajal - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Mark Lajal - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.12.22	Bu Yunchaokete - Mark Lajal	0:2

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