Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Alex Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
42.4%

Alex Martinez
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Alex Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Calvin Hemery - Alex Martinez Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Martinez will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 354. Martinez is ranked ATP: 305.

Hemery has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Martinez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martinez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Martinez will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Andrej Nedic - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Daniel Lara Salmeron - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Dali Blanch - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. Retired ✺
10.03.26	Sandro Kopp - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
05.03.26	Calvin Hemery - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LW??L
- Alex Martinez Tennis
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Alex Martinez - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Alex Martinez - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alex Martinez - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Valentin Royer - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Alex Martinez - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LWWWW

Calvin Hemery - Alex Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide