Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Sandro Kopp		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.64
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.33)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandro Kopp
43.7%

Calvin Hemery
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandro Kopp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandro Kopp than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Sandro Kopp - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: Calvin Hemery will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Calvin Hemery will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kopp is ranked ATP: 320. Hemery is ranked ATP: 316.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hemery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hemery might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandro Kopp
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Sandro Kopp - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Alexander Vasilev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Calvin Hemery - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Calvin Hemery - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

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