Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Andrej Nedic		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.71	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.7)	2.69 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Nedic
65.7%

Calvin Hemery
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Nedic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrej Nedic's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Nedic than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrej Nedic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nedic is ranked ATP: 287. Hemery is ranked ATP: 338.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Hemery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nedic might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Nedic
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Andrej Nedic - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Andrej Nedic - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Andrej Nedic - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Daniel Lara Salmeron - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Dali Blanch - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. Retired ✺
10.03.26	Sandro Kopp - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
05.03.26	Calvin Hemery - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Calvin Hemery - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 W??LW

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