Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAINT BRIEUC (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Calvin Hemery		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
	1.72	2
	1.68	2.14
	1.7	2.18
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.38)	2.12 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
55.9%

Antoine Ghibaudo
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calvin Hemery's form might have worsened.

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antoine Ghibaudo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antoine Ghibaudo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.6%	0%	5.4%

Calvin Hemery - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Users Predictions: Calvin Hemery will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Hemery is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ghibaudo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ghibaudo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hemery won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Hugo Grenier - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Marek Gengel - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Calvin Hemery - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Calvin Hemery - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Calvin Hemery - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ITF Tournaments
19.03.23	Antoine Ghibaudo - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Antoine Hoang - Antoine Ghibaudo	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Antoine Ghibaudo - Jimmy Yang	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Antoine Ghibaudo - Oscar Lacides	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.11.21	Antoine Ghibaudo - Calvin Hemery	0:2

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