Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Marek Gengel		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.43	1.54
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.38	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Gengel
38.4%

Calvin Hemery
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marek Gengel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Marek Gengel - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gengel will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Hemery will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemery: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gengel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hemery is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Marek Gengel - Luca Margaroli	2:0 ✺
27.02.23	Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Marek Gengel - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Marek Gengel - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
13.02.23	Filip Cristian Jianu - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Calvin Hemery - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Calvin Hemery - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Calvin Hemery - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
27.01.23	Calvin Hemery - Dominic Stephan Stricker	Stricker D. retired ✺
26.01.23	Evan Furness - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLL?W

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