Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Martin Damm

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.04)	2.18 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
57.2%

Martin Damm
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calvin Hemery's performance.

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Damm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calvin Hemery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Damm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Calvin Hemery - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Damm will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 238. Damm is ranked ATP: 208.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Damm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Calvin Hemery - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Richard Gasquet - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Calvin Hemery - Charles Broom	Canceled ✺
10.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LW?LL
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
23.09.24	Martin Damm - Robin Bertrand	1:2 ✺
19.09.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Martin Damm - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Martin Damm - Antoine Escoffier	Canceled ✺
11.09.24	Martin Damm - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLW?L

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