Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez (France), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Referee: Wesly V. (Fra)


	Duje Ajdukovic		Martin Damm

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.88
	1.43	2.69	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.37	2.73	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.73)	2.68 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
65.4%

Martin Damm
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duje Ajdukovic's performance.

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Damm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duje Ajdukovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Damm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Duje Ajdukovic - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: Duje Ajdukovic will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 106. Damm is ranked ATP: 206.

Ajdukovic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Damm is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Damm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ajdukovic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Kyrian Jacquet	Jacquet K. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.24	Matej Dodig - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ??WLW
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Martin Damm - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Martin Damm - Antoine Escoffier	Canceled ✺
11.09.24	Martin Damm - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Martin Damm - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Martin Damm - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 W?LLL

Duje Ajdukovic - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide