Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Calvin Hemery		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	1.7	2.04
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 (1.7)	2.04 (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
54.6%

Mateus Alves
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

Alves Mateus (2001) - withdrawn.

Hemery is ranked ATP: 190. Alves is ranked ATP: 283.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hemery won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Mateus Alves
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Jaime Faria - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Mateus Alves - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Mateus Alves - Mariano Kestelboim	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Mateus Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.04.23	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	0:2
04.04.22	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	1:2

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