Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Moore S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 3


	Cameron Norrie		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.5
	1.56	2.6
	1.57	2.58
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.51	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	2.58 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
62.8%

Joao Fonseca
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Cameron Norrie - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Fonseca will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fonseca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Norrie will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Cameron Norrie - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Harold Mayot - Cameron Norrie	Mayot H. retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LW?LL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Leandro Riedi - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	✺

Cameron Norrie - Joao Fonseca