Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Navalon I. (Esp)


	Leandro Riedi		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.71	2.21
	1.71	2.22
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.49	2.38	Watch
	1.74	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.89)	2.16 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
56.4%

Joao Fonseca
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leandro Riedi's performance.

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Fonseca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leandro Riedi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Leandro Riedi - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: Leandro Riedi will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Ignacio Buse - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
05.03.24	Alexander Blockx - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Leandro Riedi - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Guido Andreozzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Jan Choinski - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Joao Fonseca - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Leandro Riedi - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide