Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Referee: Rask C. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8, SportKlub 9
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Cameron Norrie		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.64	2.38
	1.58	2.44	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.36	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	2.37 (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
59.8%

Jozef Kovalik
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Cameron Norrie - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 15 - 38.5%). Kovalik will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 46.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Norrie is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kovalik is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kovalik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
04.07.24	Jack Draper - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
02.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Facundo Diaz Acosta	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.24	Cameron Norrie - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP London
17.06.24	Milos Raonic - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Lukas Klein - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jozef Kovalik	0:2
07.07.24	Daniel Masur - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
05.07.24	Rudolf Molleker - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
04.07.24	Liam Gavrielides - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Cameron Norrie - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide