Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.65
	1.46	2.6	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	2.58 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
63.7%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 259.

The competitors look crappy now.

Guillen Meza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.24	Renzo Olivo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. walkover ✺
12.08.24	Roberto Cid Subervi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.24	David Goffin - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?WLL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Denis Yevseyev - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.24	Karue Sell - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Alejandro Arcila - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1

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