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Current Win Probability
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 42.1%
Christian Garin 57.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Christian Garin Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 7 - 20%). Garin will win (votes: 28 - 80%). Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 66.7% โ 93.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Christian Garin will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 56.Garin is ranked ATP: 110.
Ugo Carabelli is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Garin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
The players have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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