Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
			Watch
	3.11	1.41
			Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.98	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.77)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
33.1%

Ethan Quinn
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Quinn will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quinn: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Quinn (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Quinn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 53. Quinn is ranked ATP: 95.

Ugo Carabelli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Quinn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Quinn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP London
17.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWL
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Mallorca
22.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Oliver Crawford - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.25	Li Tu - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Ethan Quinn	3:2 ✺
29.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Ethan Quinn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
18.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn	1:2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide