Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Karue Sell

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.33	3.37
	1.33	3.2	Watch
	1.23	3.88	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	3.29 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
71.5%

Karue Sell
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Karue Sell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karue Sell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karue Sell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 87. Sell is ranked ATP: 271.

Ugo Carabelli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Karue Sell
ATP Challenger
31.01.25	Karue Sell - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Karue Sell - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Karue Sell - Alafia Ayeni	2:0 ✺
13.01.25	Karue Sell - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Karue Sell - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell	2:1

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide