Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Carl Emil Overbeck		Pedro Vives Marcos

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.79	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Emil Overbeck
51%

Pedro Vives Marcos
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Pedro Vives Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Carl Emil Overbeck - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions

Users Predictions: Carl Emil Overbeck will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carl Emil Overbeck will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Overbeck is ranked ATP: 525. Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 477.

Overbeck has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Vives Marcos - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Jason Kubler - Carl Emil Overbeck	Kubler J. retired ✺
25.11.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Masamichi Imamura - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Naoki Tajima - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 L?WWW
- Pedro Vives Marcos
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Maxim Mrva	Vives Marcos P. retired ✺
30.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Tiago Pereira - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Alexandr Binda - Pedro Vives Marcos	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Omar Knani - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWWW

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