Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Carl Emil Overbeck

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.79	1.28
	3.35	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.57	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.62)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
26.5%

Carl Emil Overbeck
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Dellavedova's form might have worsened.

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carl Emil Overbeck's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carl Emil Overbeck, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matthew Dellavedova - Carl Emil Overbeck Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Overbeck (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Carl Emil Overbeck will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 423. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 649.

Dellavedova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Overbeck is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Overbeck may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Overbeck is the team to beat.

We predict that Overbeck will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	James Duckworth - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Filip Peliwo - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Emile Hudd	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Dane Sweeny - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Masamichi Imamura - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Naoki Tajima - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Jake Delaney - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

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