Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sanxenxo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Carles Hernandez		Tiago Torres

	1	2
	3	1.4
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carles Hernandez
32.9%

Tiago Torres
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carles Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tiago Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carles Hernandez than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carles Hernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Torres than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiago Torres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carles Hernandez - Tiago Torres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 862. Torres is ranked ATP: 571.

Hernandez has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Torres will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hernandez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carles Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Karol Filar - Carles Hernandez	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Carles Hernandez	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Anton Shepp - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Carles Hernandez - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Tiago Torres
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tiago Torres - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.04.26	Mert Alkaya - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Kasra Rahmani - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tiago Torres - Yannik Kelm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Carles Hernandez - Tiago Torres	0:2

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