Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Tiago Torres		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.74
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (3.26)	1.65 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Torres
43.7%

Florent Bax
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Torres's performance.

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florent Bax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Torres than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Torres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florent Bax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiago Torres - Florent Bax Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bax will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Torres is ranked ATP: 637. Bax is ranked ATP: 276.

Torres is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bax is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bax is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bax will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Torres
ITF Tournaments
05.04.26	Mert Alkaya - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Kasra Rahmani - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tiago Torres - Yannik Kelm	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Samir Hamza Reguig - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Tiago Torres - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
11.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Florent Bax - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Philip Henning - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

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