Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ceuta, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Karol Filar		Carles Hernandez

	1	2
	1.75	2.11
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	1.97 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karol Filar
52.9%

Carles Hernandez
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karol Filar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Carles Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karol Filar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karol Filar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carles Hernandez than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carles Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karol Filar - Carles Hernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Filar is ranked ATP: 613. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 861.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Filar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karol Filar
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Karol Filar - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Karol Filar	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.26	Karol Filar - Taisei Ichikawa	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Karol Filar - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Karol Filar - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Carles Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Carles Hernandez	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Anton Shepp - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Mert Alkaya - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Carles Hernandez - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Carles Hernandez - Nicolas Ifi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Karol Filar - Carles Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide