Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.39	1.6
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
40.4%

Hugo Dellien
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Dellien will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 380. Dellien is ranked ATP: 162.

Recent performances by Caniato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dellien is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dellien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dellien will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.96%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Federico Bondioli - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Alex Barrena - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Hugo Dellien - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Hugo Dellien - Valentin Royer	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Hugo Dellien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide