Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.21	1.6
	2.47	1.6
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.28	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.4)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
41.3%

Hugo Dellien
58.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Dellien will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dellien: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 206. Dellien is ranked ATP: 139.

Carballes Baena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dellien is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dellien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dellien might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Dellien will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Lautaro Midon - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Molcan	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWL?L
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Matej Dodig - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Sean Cuenin - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Hugo Dellien - Laslo Djere	Dellien H. Retired ✺
14.05.26	Benjamin Hassan - Hugo Dellien	Hassan B. Retired ✺
13.05.26	Zdenek Kolar - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WW??W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
11.05.23	Hugo Dellien - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.19	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Dellien	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.19	Hugo Dellien - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0

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